Category Archives: Hockey News
NHL point totals: 3 overvalued teams to fade
It's all about value.
After bringing you four undervalued teams to consider last week, let's visit the other end of the spectrum by identifying three clubs that sportsbooks are overvaluing based on headline-catching offseasons:
Toronto Maple Leafs under 102.5
A lot of people - led by the Kyle Dubas Stans - are high on the Maple Leafs this season after an active summer. However, it's time to pump the brakes. After finishing with 100 points last season, did the roster actually improve this offseason?
Let's start by addressing the elephant in the room: Mitch Marner. The restricted free agent tallied a team-high 94 points last season but remains unsigned and entrenched in a bitter contract dispute that's threatening to drag into October. Is anyone truly confident that Marner will sign in time for training camp? Dubas hasn't provided much reason for optimism given last year's situation with William Nylander. And considering Marner was Toronto's most valuable player in 2018-19, even a month without him could drastically impact the team's point total.
The Leafs will already be without Zach Hyman (knee surgery) to start the season, making a Marner holdout that much more important to avoid. Their depth will be tested, and looking down the roster I'm not sure that's a good thing. Exchanging Nazem Kadri for Alex Kerfoot is at best a wash, and that's operating under the assumption that Kerfoot can play center. It would leave Toronto thin down the middle if he can't. Meanwhile, Nick Shore and Jason Spezza were brought in, but the latter was a healthy scratch at times with Dallas, while the former spent last season in the KHL and has never scored more than six goals in an NHL season.
By trading Kadri, the Leafs also lost their last bit of grit. As talented as this roster is, it's small and soft throughout the lineup. You could notice a shift in how teams attacked the Leafs down the stretch last season, getting pucks deep and wearing them out by grinding down low. It resulted in a 10-10-5 record to close out the season. Does that sound like a 103-point team?
On the back end, Tyson Barrie and Cody Ceci should help shore up a top-four group that will also have Jake Muzzin for a full season. However, Jake Gardiner - a very useful player for Toronto, Game 7 deficiencies aside - along with strong penalty killers in Nikita Zaitsev and Ron Hainsey are all gone. Morgan Reilly is coming off a career year in which he posted an unsustainably high shooting percentage, while Travis Dermott is also set to miss at least the first month of the season.
The Maple Leafs are still a very good hockey team, but there are too many question marks to back them increasing their point total in an Atlantic Division that improved over the summer.
Minnesota Wild under 87.5
The Wild just went through one of the most embarrassing offseasons in NHL history. Former GM Paul Fenton's disastrous campaign was exposed by the Athletic's Michael Russo, and he was fired after just one year in charge. To make matters worse, Bill Guerin was only hired a week ago as the replacement, inheriting a bad roster and minimal flexibility to make changes before the season.
So please, someone tell me how this team is expected to be better after finishing 2018-19 with 83 points? Nino Niederreiter, Mikael Granlund, and Charlie Coyle are all gone from a roster that produced just 211 goals, while Mats Zuccarello is the only reinforcement in that area.
At this point, the first line is closer to moving into Del Boca Vista than moving the Wild into a playoff spot, while goaltender Devan Dubnyk already turned back into the pumpkin he was in Edmonton. Minnesota will be lucky to finish with 80 points.
New Jersey Devils under 90.5
Ray Shero went on a warpath this summer to improve his hockey team. He definitely succeeded, but probably not to the extent that people seem to think. P.K. Subban and Wayne Simmonds will help sell tickets, but these are two guys on the wrong side of 30 and coming off down years - not exactly inspiring.
Nico Hischier is now joined by fellow first overall pick Jack Hughes to form what should be an electric one-two punch at center, and of course, 2017-18 NHL MVP Taylor Hall is healthy. But Hall, an unrestricted free agent after this season, still needs a new contract. It could prove to be a big distraction if he doesn't get one before opening night.
The biggest issue surrounding the Devils, however, and the reason everyone should be skeptical about them making a massive jump up from 72 points last season, is the situation in net. Young Mackenzie Blackwood has a grand total of 23 NHL games on his resume and his best single-season save percentage in the AHL was .907. How many times have we seen goaltending hold back exciting teams? The Devils will be fun to watch, but please don't bet on them getting 10 more wins than last season.
Follow Alex on Twitter at @alexjmoretto
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Holland: Puljujarvi signing in Finland doesn’t rule out trade
The Jesse Puljujarvi sweepstakes are still wide open after the restricted free-agent forward signed a one-year deal on Tuesday morning to play in Finland's top league this season.
Since Puljujarvi's contract includes an NHL opt-out clause - allowing him to join a team before Dec. 1 - Edmonton Oilers general manager Ken Holland doesn't believe the move will have much impact on his trade market.
"I don't know that him signing in Finland has a huge effect on the situation," Holland told Sportsnet's Mark Spector. "I've had conversations with numerous clubs that have had interest, some interest, in acquiring Jesse. And I have had, probably in the last 10 days, two or three new teams reach out to me. Teams whose position have changed, and are checking into the Puljujarvi situation.
"I'll do a deal if I feel good that I'm making a deal in the best interests of the Edmonton Oilers."
Puljujarvi, a former fourth overall pick of the Oilers, requested a trade out of Edmonton earlier this summer, but Holland hasn't found an offer to his liking. The 6-foot-4 winger has always had tantalizing potential, but he's produced just 37 points in 139 career NHL games.
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Senators, Chabot have discussed extension
The Ottawa Senators are looking to lock up another piece of their young core.
The club has "had discussions" with defenseman Thomas Chabot about a contract extension, general manager Pierre Dorion told the Ottawa Sun's Bruce Garrioch.
Dorion didn't want to reveal any more than that.
"In the case of Colin White, we were able to keep everything very confidential and we were able to get a contract done," Dorion said. "We don’t think talking publicly about any contract negotiations, whether it’s Chabot or any pending UFA, does us any good.
"But we understand the importance of our young core and having them in Ottawa as long as possible."
Last week, the Sens inked White, a restricted free-agent forward, to a six-year deal that carries a $4.75-million cap hit. Chabot, meanwhile, has one year left on his entry-level contract before becoming an RFA next summer.
Regardless of when Chabot signs his next contract, he could receive quite the payday. The 22-year-old blue-liner enjoyed a breakout season in 2018-19, recording 55 points in 70 games. His 0.79 points per game ranked eighth among all NHL defensemen.
Chabot's contract could ultimately be dictated by the deals that are expected to be signed by fellow rearguards Charlie McAvoy and Zach Werenski. Both RFAs are in need of a new deal for the upcoming campaign. Werenski is reportedly seeking a three-year bridge contract worth at least $15 million.
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Puljujarvi signs 1-year deal with Karpat in Finnish league
Edmonton Oilers restricted free-agent forward Jesse Puljujarvi has signed a one-year deal with Karpat in the top Finnish league, the team announced Tuesday.
The contract is for the entire season, but it includes an opt-out clause that allows Puljujarvi to return to the NHL anytime before Dec. 1 - the latest date the CBA allows a player to join a roster without clearing waivers.
The Oilers made Puljujarvi the fourth overall pick in the 2016 NHL Draft, but he's mustered just 37 points in 139 career games.
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NHL Rumor Mill – August 27, 2019
NHL Morning Coffee Headlines – August 27, 2019
NHL Most Important Players: Tampa Bay Lightning
McDavid thinks unsigned RFAs need ‘one domino to fall’
Edmonton Oilers captain Connor McDavid believes the NHL's current crop of unsigned restricted free agents will reach their respective agreements in bunches.
"It's obviously a unique situation where there's a lot of star players that are sitting out right now," McDavid said Monday, according to NHL.com's Mike Zeisberger. "I think it'll just take one domino to fall and they'll all fall pretty quick. But someone's going to have to set that mark."
The list of RFAs that remain without a deal includes Brayden Point, Mitch Marner, Brock Boeser, Kyle Connor, Patrik Laine, Mikko Rantanen, and Matthew Tkachuk, among others. Training camps open in roughly two weeks.
McDavid himself never came close to a contract holdout, as he signed an eight-year, $100-million contract in July 2017 to make him the league's highest-paid player, one year before he would've become an RFA.
"I didn't want to be sitting here and not going to training camp," McDavid said. "That was my biggest fear, honestly."
McDavid posted a career-high 116 points in 78 games in 2018-19, the first year of his new contract.
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Max Domi: Habs fans a ‘whole other level’ compared to Leafs fans
Max Domi isn't afraid to stoke the fire of a century-old rivalry during the dog days of summer.
The Montreal Canadiens forward was recently asked about the difference between his current team's fan base and that of the Toronto Maple Leafs, the club that plays where he grew up. His dad, Tie, also played 777 games for the Leafs.
"I was pretty lucky as a kid to grow up around that same sort of vibe in Toronto with my dad, but Montreal's a whole other level," Domi told TSN. "I get it, Toronto's got their fans and the Leaf Nation is pretty big, but there's nothing even close to Montreal and their fans down there. The fan base for the Montreal Canadiens is second to none."
Asked for his reasoning, Domi pointed to the rafters.
"They've won 24 Stanley Cups," he said. "That's all that needs to be said, really. Sorry. It's a pretty simple answer."
After spending the first three years of his career with the Arizona Coyotes, Domi was shipped to the Habs in exchange for Alex Galchenyuk last offseason. He immediately noticed the vast difference between the two markets.
"It wasn't really anything I wasn't prepared for, but you don't really know what to expect until you step on the ice and experience skating around the Bell Centre and playing in front of a sold-out rink of 20,000 passionate fans that know exactly what's going on in your life and how your game's going and all that stuff," Domi said.
"If you're playing in Montreal, you're the luckiest dude in the world," he added.
Domi's first year in La Belle Province was a huge success, as he buried a career-high 28 goals while adding 44 assists, setting a new personal best with 72 points in 82 games.
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