NHL Tuesday player props: Reinhart to feast on Sharks

We have a meaty nine-game slate ahead of us on Tuesday night. Let's waste no time getting to a few of my favorite props.

Elias Lindholm: Over 2.5 shots

Lindholm is a road warrior. He recorded three shots or more in eight of nine games on the road this season, testing opposing goaltenders 3.4 times on average. I expect his success to continue Tuesday night in Montreal.

The Canadiens have bled shots all season, particularly against the center position. They rank 31st in shots allowed per game versus opposing centers, which puts them ahead of only the Blackhawks.

The Habs also struggle mightily with team discipline, taking more penalties per game than all but the Ducks.

Lindholm is the Flames' first-line center - and has played more minutes on the power play than anybody else on the roster this season - so he figures to be the primary beneficiary of this juicy matchup.

Odds: -125 (playable to -135)

Filip Forsberg: Over 3.5 shots

Forsberg has been a constant target for us all season long - particularly when playing at home - and there's no reason to get away from that.

He went over his shot total in five of six home games, falling just one shot shy in the lone exception.

His volume in Nashville is through the roof. Forsberg is averaging nearly five shots on goal while attempting well over eight shots per contest.

Although the Ducks are much improved this season, that stems more from the dynamic ability of their young weapons rather than stout defensive play. The Ducks rank bottom-10 in shots against per game, and no team has taken more penalties.

Forsberg should be able to generate plenty of offense against a weak defense at five-on-five. If all else fails, he can likely expect a few power-play opportunities to get over the line.

Odds: -130 (playable to -145)

Sam Reinhart: Over 2.5 shots

Reinhart has reverse splits. Unlike most offensive players, his volume is much higher on the road than at home. He's attempting 5.7 shots per game in Florida and more than seven on the road.

This isn't a case where one or two monster games are bringing the numbers up; Reinhart's outputs have been consistent. He's attempted at least six shots in all but one road game. That means he's giving himself a strong shot of hitting on any given night.

Dating back to last season, Reinhart has gone over his total 71% of the time when attempting six shots or more.

Reinhart should have no problem generating that kind of volume against the Sharks. They're a horrific defensive team with little offense to sustain pressure at the other end of the ice. They spend a ton of time chasing play in the defensive zone as a result, which is why they rank dead last in attempts and shots on goal allowed on a per-minute basis.

Look for Reinhart to take advantage.

Odds: -130 (playable to -150)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter, at @ToddCordell.

Copyright © 2023 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

Leave a Reply