Squad Up Daily NHL Fantasy Dose: Blue Jackets’ reliance on top line is good sign

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Here is a look at the Squad Up daily NHL fantasy picture for Tuesday, April 4 (all advanced statistics courtesy of Corsica.Hockey and apply to 5v5 situations):

Dynamic Duos

  • LW Nick Foligno (46K) & RW Cam Atkinson (53K), Blue Jackets (at Penguins): The Penguins rank 29th with 3.08 expected goals allowed per 60 minutes since March 4. They've had a negative differential in both possession and expected goals over this past month, and they've allowed a league-worst 19.71 scoring chances per 60 minutes. The Blue Jackets' top line played 30.49 percent of 5v5 minutes last time out.
  • LW Filip Forsberg (72K) & C Ryan Johansen (73K), Predators (vs. Islanders): The Islanders have allowed 10.31 scoring chances per 60 minutes over the past month and have averaged just 42.86 percent of all scoring chances. The Predators have averaged 8.33 SCF60 with an expected conversion rate of 2.54 goals per 60 minutes. Forsberg's on a three-game point streak with 10 shots on goal.
  • LW Alexander Steen (68K) & RW Vladimir Tarasenko (96K), Blues (vs. Jets): LW Jaden Schwartz is the third piece of the Blues' top line, but he is slightly more expensive than Steen. Opting for the lower ceiling of Steen allows for a non-minimum salary goaltender. The Jets have allowed 10.08 scoring chances per 60 minutes over the past month, and St. Louis averages 10.17 chances of their own on home ice.

(Photo courtesy Action Images)

Goalie Breakdown

  • TARGET - Pekka Rinne (115K), Predators (vs. Islanders): The Islanders have averaged more than 30 shots on goal per 60 minutes over the past month, but they're turning those into just 7.74 scoring chances and 2.33 expected goals. Rinne should be able to pad his nightly stat line with some low-difficulty saves.
  • BARGAIN - Braden Holtby (79K), Capitals (at Maple Leafs): The Maple Leafs own an 8-1-1 record over their past 10 games, but they'll be playing on the second half of a back-to-back. They made the short trip back home from Buffalo, but they'll be facing a rested Capitals team. Washington is already the second-ranked team in Corsi For percentage over the past month.
  • FADE - Matt Murray (118K), Penguins (vs. Blue Jackets): The Penguins' depleted defense corps has led to the team's 3.08 expected goals against per 60 minutes over the past month. Murray has allowed 10 goals in his past three starts in which he faced a total of 100 SOG. He has the potential for a high save total, but he should be avoided against an elite offense.
  • CONTRARIAN - Keith Kinkaid (93K), Devils (vs. Flyers): The Flyers rank in the top-third of the league with 8.87 scoring chances per 60 minutes over the past month, but they've converted those to just 2.38 expected goals. Kinkaid stopped 70 of 74 shots faced in his past two starts.

(Photo courtesy Action Images)

Bargain Plays

  • LW Matthew Tkachuk (30K), Flames (at Ducks): Tkachuk played on a line with C Mikael Backlund and RW Michael Frolik which played a team-high 28.8 percent of the 5v5 minutes in Calgary's most recent game. The Ducks have been expected to allow 2.62 goals per 60 minutes over the past month.
  • C Nick Schmaltz (28K), Blackhawks (at Avalanche): Schmaltz has gone without a point in each of his past two games, but he played over 18 minutes for the first time since March 19, his last time out. He remains beside C Jonathan Toews and has an extremely favorable matchup.
  • RW Mikko Rantanen (25K), Avalanche (vs. Blackhawks): Blackhawks G Corey Crawford owns a 2.80 goals against average on the road this season with a save percentage of just .911. Rantanen remains beside C Nathan MacKinnon at 5v5, with their line playing 26.63 percent of the available minutes last time out. Rantanen had three SOG in each of his past three games.

(Photo courtesy Action Images)

Top Fades

  • D Dustin Byfuglien (52K), Jets (at Blues): Byfuglien is on track for his lowest full-season goal total since his first with the Jets in 2011-12. He is on pace for a career high in assists but his shot counts have also dwindled. St. Louis is one of the league's top defensive teams on home ice, allowing just 25.73 SOG and only 3.94 scoring chances per 60 minutes.
  • RW Phil Kessel (60K), Penguins (vs. Blue Jackets): Kessel has been held without a goal since March 17. He has tallied five assists during the slump, but his price is much more reflective of a steady goal scorer. He faces the league's top goaltender, Tuesday, diminishing any appeal in a slump buster.
  • LW Patrick Marleau (54K), Sharks (vs. Canucks): While he was beside C Joe Pavelski, Marleau played just 13.5 percent of the 5v5 minutes in San Jose's most recent game. Owners are better off spending a little extra for Pavelski with playing time and opportunity limited for both forwards.

(Photo courtesy Getty Images)

Contrarian Options

  • LW Jeff Skinner (50K), Hurricanes (at Wild): Skinner has goals in two of his past three games since his scoring streak was snapped. He had at least three SOG in five of his past six games. The matchup will deter many owners, but Skinner remains matchup proof while carrying the scoring load for the Hurricanes.
  • D Kevin Shattenkirk (37K), Capitals (at Maple Leafs): Shattenkirk has six assists in his past five games, and he has six power-play assists since joining the Capitals. Washington ranks third in power-play percentage. The Maple Leafs have a top-10 penalty-kill percentage, but they could be prone to taking a few more penalties while on the second half of a back-to-back.
  • C Joe Pavelski (86K), Sharks (vs. Canucks): As noted above, Pavelski's 5v5 ice time has fluctuated of late, but he maintains consistent TOI totals with heavy power-play usage. He was held without a shot his last time out, but he notched three or more SOG in each of his previous three games.

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O Canada: Projecting the defending champion’s 2018 Pyeongchang roster

Just like that, Team Canada's aspirations of winning a third straight Olympic gold became much more difficult to achieve.

The NHL made the dreaded though not unexpected announcement Monday that the league will not send its players to the 2018 Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang, South Korea.

Related - Report: NHL directs teams not to talk Olympic participation with players

While some optimists and those close to the game don't feel Monday's announcement concretely closes the door on NHL participation, those in charge of constructing the rosters must now turn to plan B.

It will be no simple task for Canada to piece together another winning club, but let's take a look at how the country's 2018 Olympic roster could shape up.

Note: Only AHL players with fewer than 10 games played in the NHL over the last two seasons were considered. Players signed to entry-level contracts were excluded as well.

Forwards

LW C RW
Chris Bourque Derek Roy Taylor Beck
Mason Raymond Mike Richards Tom Kostopoulos
Brandon Kozun Gilbert Brule Kevin Clark
Robert Klinkhammer Matt Ellison Bud Holloway
Daniel Paille Max Talbot *Nigel Dawes

Notes:

  • The forward contingent is largely made up of KHL talent, along with some experienced AHL veterans.
  • Mason Raymond and Mike Richards both earn spots despite not currently playing with a team. Raymond suited up for Canada at the Spengler Cup last December and was instrumental in the team's gold-medal win, collecting six points in five games. Meanwhile, Richards hasn't played since joining the Washington Capitals last season, but could be an asset considering he earned gold at the 2010 Olympics in Vancouver.
  • Nigel Dawes is on the list, but gets an asterisk since he also has Kazakhstani citizenship, and recently played for the country at its Olympic qualifying tournament and at last season's World Championships.

Defense

LD RD
Chris Lee Marc-Andre Gragnani
Marc-Andre Bergeron Cam Barker
Kevin Dallman Mat Robinson
Chay Genoway Geoff Kinrade
  • The defense - once again - is very KHL-heavy.
  • Chris Lee has scored more points (62) than any other Canadian skater this season.
  • Four of the men above represented Canada at the 2016 Deutschland Cup.

Goalies

G
Ben Scrivens
Daniel Taylor
Michael Leighton
  • Selecting the goaltenders is fairly straightforward. Ben Scrivens and Daniel Taylor have been among the best Canadian talents in the KHL this season. Meanwhile, Michael Leighton continues to live in the AHL despite continued solid play with the Charlotte Checkers.

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Karlsson joins elite company with fourth 70-point season

Ottawa Senators defenseman Erik Karlsson notched a goal and an assist in Monday's shootout loss to the Detroit Red Wings to reach the 70-point plateau for the fourth time in his career, making him just the 12th blue-liner in NHL history to record four or more 70-point seasons.

The other 11 defensemen to do so? Bobby Orr, Paul Coffey, Brian Leetch, Al MacInnis, Nicklas Lidstrom, Ray Bourque, Denis Potvin, Phil Housley, Gary Suter, Larry Murphy, and Borje Salming. With the exception of Suter, all of them are in the Hall of Fame.

What makes Karlsson's feat especially impressive is the fact he's been able to produce in an era with far less scoring than the 1980s, when most of the aforementioned blue-liners played.

At 26, Karlsson is well on his way to the Hall, with a chance to go down as the best offensive defenseman of all time.

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Maple Leafs’ dynamic rookies continue to make history

With assists from William Nylander and Mitch Marner on Monday night in Buffalo, the Toronto Maple Leafs became just the second team in NHL history to feature three rookies with 60-plus points each, joining the 1980-81 Quebec Nordiques, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.

Toronto's 4-2 win also increased its record to 11-2-1 over its last 14 games.

"This is a pretty good time of year to be heating up," Auston Matthews told Mark Masters of TSN.

Matthews, of course, rounds out the 60-point rookie club in Toronto, and scored again Monday off a beautiful feed from Nylander. That tally gave Matthews 39 goals on the season, setting a single-season NHL record for goals by a U.S.-born rookie and matching Sidney Crosby's rookie total.

The goal was also Matthews' 67th point of the season, passing Peter Ihnacak for the Leafs' single-season record for points by a rookie.

The Leafs currently sit with 93 points - good for second in the Atlantic Division - as the rookie trio attempts to lead the franchise to its first playoff berth in a full 82-game season since 2003-04. The Buds have four games remaining - all at home - against Washington, Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh, and Columbus.

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Report: Rowe won’t return as Panthers head coach

Tom Rowe may only have three games left in his tenure behind the Florida Panthers' bench.

Multiple sources told George Richards of the Miami Herald that Rowe will not return as head coach next season.

"This is part of the business," he said after Monday's 4-1 loss to the Montreal Canadiens. "I knew coming here, to be part of it, if things didn't go well I would be taking the brunt of it."

Rowe, who is also the Panthers general manager, was appointed interim bench boss one day after the club fired Gerard Gallant in November.

The Panthers have officially said they'll discuss Rowe's future as head coach after their final game of the season Sunday night.

They went 22-25-10 under Rowe after posting an 11-10-1 record to begin the season under Gallant.

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Watch: Red Wings’ Svechnikov scores SO winner in NHL debut

Evgeny Svechnikov had a night he'll never forget.

The Detroit Red Wings rookie scored the eventual winner in a shootout victory over the Ottawa Senators on Monday night, slipping a backhander past Craig Anderson in his first NHL game.

Senators center Colin White, who was drafted two spots after Svechnikov in 2015, came up short on his attempt to extend the shootout, sealing the victory for Detroit.

Svechnikov was recalled Monday morning to make his debut, which was also White's first career contest.

The Red Wings left winger made quite a first impression on the ice, and he did the same with the media postgame.

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Karlsson calls Olympic decision ‘crap,’ won’t say if he’ll defy NHL and play

Erik Karlsson didn't hide his frustration over the NHL's decision not to take part in next year's Olympics.

The Ottawa Senators star defenseman politely declined to comment when asked if he would play for Sweden regardless and had a one-word answer when asked what he thought of the decision, according to ESPN's Craig Custance.

"Crap," Karlsson said after a loss to the Detroit Red Wings on Monday night.

"Pretty much. I don't understand the decision. We have no say in the matter, it's very unfortunate for the game of hockey around the world that they're going to do this to the sport. I think it's going to hurt a lot if we don't end up going. Whoever made that decision obviously had no idea about what they're doing."

Senators owner Eugene Melnyk said last month that Karlsson would get a "flat no" from him on participating in the 2018 Games in Pyeongchang, South Korea if the league decided not to officially go, which it did Monday.

Some players have expressed a desire to play regardless, and the NHL is reportedly telling teams not to discuss individual participation with their players before the league rules on the matter.

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Canadiens clinch Atlantic Division title with win over Panthers

The Montreal Canadiens are the Atlantic Division champions once again.

The Canadiens clinched the division title with a 4-1 victory over the Florida Panthers on Monday night, ensuring their second Atlantic crown in the last three seasons while officially dethroning the Panthers, who won it in 2015-16.

Montreal, which led the Atlantic nearly from start to finish, holds an eight-point advantage on the second-place Toronto Maple Leafs. While the Leafs have a game in hand, they would need five regulation or overtime wins to tie the Canadiens, but only have four games left.

It's the first division championship for the Canadiens since they went 50-22-10 in 2014-15.

Montreal is 46-24-9 with three games remaining in its regular-season schedule.

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Remember, we are all Canucks!